Yeesh. I guess it's a
good thing I'm sleeping through most of these west coast games. Throw a no-hitter and then almost get no-hit yourself? That would be embarrassing. There are a couple of times within my memory that the Red Sox were no hit, the last by Chris Bosio-in Seattle, go figure, when the Kingdome was a hitter's paradise-in April of 1993. I listened to that game on the radio, actually. Thanks to Papi for not making us repeat the experience as it really stunk. And while I'm usually not one to wax positive about anything in a loss-they all suck equally in my book-it was nice to see Beckett back to form after a couple of lousy outings in a row. He's got to tighten up on the long ball, though-he's close to the league leader in that category again.
While we're on the subject of the A's, I may as well take the opportunity to let you
all know that I still remain relatively unimpressed with Billy Beane and his "moneyball" approach to the game, or at least with it's naked ability to field a championship caliber team. Before you all come at me with, hey, Bill James is on the Red Sox payroll, I know that. I didn't say it has no place in the game-clearly, it has revolutionized it in a lot of ways. I just think a) it's value is overstated, primarily in that a lot of what it tells you is stuff you can see with your own eyes (players hit differently from one park to the next, or that you'd rather have the speedy baserunner on the basepaths and the slugger at the plate than vice versa, duh), and a lot more of it is just abstractions with no context and b) in a results-driven world, how many championships has Oakland won with this approach, even when they had "the big three" at their best? (Barry Zito, btw, finally won his first game.) As far as I can tell, the golden calf of moneyball is on base percentage-in other words, the more outs that a player avoids, the better the chance of scoring runs. Duh. So it's success depends heavily on a lot of players getting on base by any means possible. All that is well and good, and probably works great during the regular season when you're playing in a league that seems genetically incapable of producing more than 15 or 20 really good pitchers at a time. The problem comes at playoff time, if you make it that far-many of those 15 or 20 pitchers are concentrated in playoff teams, and all of a sudden you aren't getting base runners at the rate you did during the regular season because you're facing a lot better pitching. Now that's true of the team that relies on the home run, too, but the home run is a lot more efficient way to score, and doesn't rely on the three guys ahead of you getting on base. I'm aware of Theo Epstein's devotion to this approach, but I'm also aware that without Manny Ramirez the Red Sox are probably going on their 91st year without a championship banner. Manny alone wasn't going to win it for them, but Manny complemented by Bill Muellar was. Look at LA last year. Baserunning and OBP was their game, which got completely shut down when they ran into the Beckett/Schilling buzzsaw. And what won both final games for the Sox in that series? Homers by the Duquette guy. I rest my case. I'm not really hostile to the approach-it's actually quite fascinating-but I'm just very skeptical of the long term, real world predictive ability of such an abstract numbers system when so much in baseball relies on the human factor and the one-to-one nature of the game.

A big relief for all of us in Celtic land last night-
a road win! Really, I don't know why we're surprised, considering the Celts were the best road team in the league this season-what we
should be expressing surprise over is that it took them this long, not that they actually won. And talk about a moneyball approach-the bench guys scored as much as our
own big three (Ray Allen seems to have gotten his groove back these last couple of games), and I'm becoming the world's #1 P.J. Brown fan. Nice going guys, getting back the home court advantage. But you know what's been the most entertaining part of this series so far? Listening to commentators and pundits talk about two elite teams coached by guys named Doc and Flip. Sounds like a Disney movie.
A game I can actually watch today, starting at 4pm, the last one for a while as all the Seattle games are 10pm starts. I'd like to not be swept, guys. Let's get it together for Jon L.
(Fan photo from Boston.com)